It's hard to say this far out without knowing exactly who will play for who but it's exciting times. All I hope is that Australia don't win it but that may be wishful thinking. I think Papua New Guinea wil come bottom of their group but I'm not sure where that would leave them in the overall standings. I believe the group with Ireland, Tonga and Samoa is very strong and any of them teams would top the group with France, Scotland and Fiji. But all that said here is how I think it will finish:
1: New Zealand - They have some of the best players in the World and if they click on the day can beat Australia no doubt. Frank Pritchard is a big loss but so long as they have Sonny-Bill Williams, Benji Marshall, Roy Asotasi, Setaimata Sa. etc. they can do anything
2: Australia - Everyone knows about their strengths but if Lockyer doesn't make the World Cup they may come up short in the Final.
3: England - Have lost their boom youngster in Sam Burgess but still capable of causing a lot of trouble if everyone gets up for it.
4: Samoa - Their playing roster looks awesome and that could get them home but I just think they may lack the creativity and direction in the halves to turn any of the Big 3 over in the semis
5: Scotland - This was the hardest position to pick but Scotland will have a very smart halfback pairing if they get Peter Wallace to partner Danny Brough. I think France have a great set of forwards but don't have enough craft just yet to carve out tries in the big games. Fiji are relatively unknown so could easily come 5th as well depending on who is fit for them.
6: Tonga - Will have an awesome team and could easily come 4th but I think they will just miss out against Samoa in qualifying. Feleti Mateo is awesome and will be a star.
7: Fiji - Again a bit of an unknown quantity but have some great backs in Akuila Uate, Semi Tadulala, Darryl Millard so can score tries from anywhere
8: Papua New Guinea - I just hope they are competitive, I think they will come bottom of their group with England, Australia and New Zealand.
9: Ireland - I hate to say it but Ireland are in a very tough group and just winning one game would be an achievement. Rugby League Ireland have a policy of taking some Irish bred players and while I can understand the thinking those players are simply nowhere near ready and so the squad will lack depth.
10: France - They have some very good players but their French players are still getting used to Super League and I think they may lack some creativity but they have a very good forward pack with players like Jamal Fakir, Jerome Guisett, Remy Casty etc.